TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 6:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will win the second set of a specific tennis match during the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the two athletes in that particular set, with clear conditions for handling match disruptions.
The market resolves based on which player wins the second set of the specified tennis match at the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any ball is played, it resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes, with a two-week closure window. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be settled from completed play will resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets settle at a Fair Market Price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ from sportsbook odds due to varying participant pools and risk assessments. Traders on Kalshi may price in different factors, such as recent form or head-to-head history, leading to divergences. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on analysis, this market adjusts dynamically as new information emerges, potentially offering alternative perspectives on the likely winner of the Set 2 winner market.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two will be the official result used to settle all positions, reflecting the on-court performance of both players at that point in the competition.
Several factors could shift this market before Aug 30, 2026. Key signals include player injuries, changes in form, or significant events in preceding sets that affect momentum. Weather conditions or venue adjustments might also influence performance. As the match progresses, updated statistics and live commentary could sway trader sentiment. Any surprising twists — such as service breaks or pivotal points — may cause rapid shifts in the probability, reflecting new odds for the eventual outcome.