TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the final quarter of a football game between two teams. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored, allowing participants to speculate on the game's intensity in the last period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter of the specified football game, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a unique threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the combined score meets or exceeds the threshold, the market settles positively; if it does not, the market resolves negatively. Points counted are those officially recorded during regulation 4th quarter play only. The markets are independent, with each threshold creating a distinct outcome based on the actual scoring outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 4th quarter total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the prices may become as new information—like injury reports or weather forecasts—becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Giants-Rams game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the 4th quarter total will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Giants or the Rams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, as kickoff approaches, even the volume of bets placed on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price changes.