TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.8b
24H VOL:
$188,696,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,815,744,871
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,841,122,681
495,177
Markets across
36,711
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,823
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 2, 1:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether North Texas or Tulsa will win their college football game scheduled for October 1, 2026. Currently, the probability of North Texas winning on Kalshi is 82.0%, while Tulsa winning is at 19.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the North Texas vs Tulsa college football game, as reported by the official game results; if Tulsa wins, the market resolves to Yes. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Tulsa wins the originally scheduled game on October 1, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official result of the North Texas vs. Tulsa college football game scheduled for October 1, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets for each team separately determine resolution: if the specified team wins, its respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the current volume is $16,066,145.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the North Texas vs Tulsa game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources as the event approaches for updates.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the North Texas or Tulsa teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they could affect playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.