TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Player of the Year Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Player of the Year Winner

Total volume:
$3,681,578
Volume 24h:
$1,188,716N/A
Liquidity:
$26,937
26%
Open interest:
$3,307,421
1%

Will Anderson Jr.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 10, 2027

Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year?

43%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 43¢ buys you 233 shares | Odds: 43% Total Payout: $233 | Net Profit: $133 Multiplier: 2.33x | ROI: 133% High Projected APY: 737% 144 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Will Anderson Jr.

Trade
43%
3%
Yes 43¢No 58¢
1¢
N/A
$254,257
0.8%
32%
$223,194
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Will Anderson Jr.

Trade
41%
1%
Yes 41¢No 60¢
1¢
$4,565
$8,943
0.83%
20%
N/A
3mo 4w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
42.9%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Fred Warner

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
N/A
$237,341
11%
36%
$221,253
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Fred Warner

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 99.8¢
3.8¢
$153
$85
0%
42%
N/A
3mo 4w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14%
Yes 9¢No 93.4¢
Avg: 2.4¢Max: 3.8¢
kalshi

Dallas Turner

Trade
10%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$195,946
0.01%
4%
$166,689
4mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Greg Rousseau

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
N/A
$186,588
0.69%
8%
$115,756
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Aidan Hutchinson

Trade
8%
Yes 9¢No 93¢
2¢
$2,681
$2,930
2%
12%
N/A
3mo 4w
active
kalshi

Aidan Hutchinson

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
N/A
$174,237
0.79%
3%
$165,149
4mo 3w 3d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 8¢No 93.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

T.J. Watt

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$153,759
2%
4%
$126,820
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

T.J. Watt

Trade
4%
Yes 4.8¢No 97.2¢
2¢
$963
$1,875
0%
30%
N/A
3mo 4w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 4.9¢No 96.6¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Nik Bonitto

Trade
4%
Yes 7.9¢No 99¢
6.9¢
$321
$1,510
0%
6%
N/A
3mo 4w
active
kalshi

Nik Bonitto

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$75,098
2%
15%
$60,718
4mo 3w 3d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 5.9¢No 98¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 6.9¢
kalshi

Maxx Crosby

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$103,931
5%
10%
$88,893
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Maxx Crosby

Trade
3%
Yes 6¢No 99.9¢
5.9¢
$617
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 5.9¢
kalshi

Kyle Hamilton

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$186,407
1%
11%
$178,064
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Kyle Hamilton

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 99.9¢
2.9¢
$191
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2.9¢
kalshi

Abdul Carter

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$180,578
2%
4%
$168,097
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Abdul Carter

Trade
2%
Yes 4¢No 99.9¢
3.9¢
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3.9¢
kalshi

Trent McDuffie

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$167,029
0.39%
2%
$164,584
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Trent McDuffie

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 99.9¢
2.9¢
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2.9¢
kalshi

Byron Murphy II

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$51,332
0%
4,890%
$51,332
4mo 3w 3d
active
kalshi

Brian Burns

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$51,038
0%
0%
$45,054
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Brian Burns

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 99.9¢
4.9¢
$559
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 4w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4.9¢
kalshi

Derek Stingley Jr.

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$7,655
0%
0%
$6,566
4mo 3w 3d
active
polymarket

Derek Stingley Jr.

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 99.9¢
2.9¢
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2.9¢
Total markets: 25 of 108

Intro

This market tracks which player will win the 2026-27 Associated Press NFL Defensive Player of the Year award. Currently, Will Anderson Jr. is predicted to win with a 42.0% probability, while Dallas Turner is at 10.0%. This consensus view is aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the Official Associated Press announcement, corroborated by NFL sources and consensus reporting. Keep an eye on the AP’s official announcement, expected around March 10, 2027, following the conclusion of the 2026-27 NFL season to see which player takes home the award.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the official AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year announcement, with consistent tie-breaking and cancellation rules.Primary resolution logic: Official Associated Press announcement, corroborated by NFL sources and consensus reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to Yes for the player listed if they are officially named the AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year for the 2026-27 season
  • In the event of a tie, the market resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically
  • If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled or postponed after February 28, 2027, or no winner is declared within that timeframe, markets resolve to "Other" (Polymarket) or remain unresolved per platform-specific rules (Kalshi)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie Resolution: If two or more players are named co-winners, the market resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically
  • Season Cancellation: If the NFL season is cancelled or no winner is declared by February 28, 2027, Polymarket resolves to "Other", while Kalshi markets may remain open or resolve per their specific cancellation policy
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official AP announcement, expected in February or March 2027 following the conclusion of Super Bowl LXIOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any of the specified defensive players wins the Pro Football AP Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 season, or if the award is shared as a tie or co-winner. Each player listed represents a distinct outcome, with the market resolving based on the official AP award announcement.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the 2026-27 AP Defensive Player of the Year market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different players winning the award. It displays total volume of $3,679,069 and 24-hour volume of $45,549, letting you see market momentum and consensus views across venues. This cross-platform view helps you spot where the market is headed and which outcomes are gaining traction as the season approaches.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment and can adjust more quickly to new information. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on broader analyses, prediction markets price in real time, incorporating recent performance, injuries, and shifting perceptions. This can create pricing discrepancies, especially as the season progresses and 2.5 highlights where trader confidence diverges from sportsbook expectations.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more sharp traders who heavily weight recent stats, while the other could reflect broader public sentiment. These dynamics lead to different implied probabilities for the same outcomes, so Polymarket currently favors Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? at 40.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year? at 43.0%.

This market resolves around Mar 10, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the award winner is announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The Associated Press determines the winner through a panel of sportswriters and broadcasters, and their official declaration settles this market, regardless of platform.

Key games, player injuries, and award watch listings can all shift this market. Strong performances in high-profile matchups may boost a contender’s chances, while injuries to leading candidates could create new favorites. As the season winds down, watchlists and award-voting timelines will also influence trader sentiment and push probabilities toward the eventual winner.