TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 9:00 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Nicaragua wins by 2 or more goals against Paraguay during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 5, 2026, 22:15 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 5, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The market resolves on Aug 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final score of the Nicaragua vs Paraguay match. The outcome YES is triggered if Nicaragua wins by a margin of 2 or more goals; any other result—including a 1-goal win, draw, or loss—resolves NO. Official match records from the governing football authority are used to confirm the final score and settle all positions on Limitless.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, and recent form in qualifying or friendly matches. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or public statements from either team's management can shift trader sentiment. Weather forecasts closer to match day may influence expectations, as poor conditions can affect scoring. Head-to-head history and venue advantage also matter; traders monitor these factors continuously. Any breaking news about player availability, suspension, or team morale will likely trigger repricing on Limitless as the Aug 4, 2026 resolution date approaches.