TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether a U.S.-based or Canadian-based team will win the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 98.6%. Resolution will be determined by official NHL information or credible reporting consensus, with the market settling based on the winner's home country. Watch for the conclusion of the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as any cancellation or postponement beyond that deadline would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by which country's team wins the Stanley Cup in the specified season. The outcome is binary: if a USA-based NHL team hoists the Cup, the market resolves YES; if a Canada-based team wins, it resolves NO. The resolution is based on the official Stanley Cup champion announced by the NHL at the end of the playoffs. This timing gives traders the full regular season and playoff period to adjust their positions based on team performance, roster changes, and playoff momentum.
Key catalysts include major player injuries or trades affecting contenders in both countries, playoff performance and seeding outcomes, and momentum shifts during the postseason. A USA team's deep playoff run or Canada team's early exit would shift odds sharply. Goaltender injuries, star player acquisitions at the trade deadline, and regular-season winning streaks all influence trader conviction. Playoff upsets and surprise Cinderella runs can trigger rapid repricing. Media narratives around team chemistry, coaching changes, and historical Stanley Cup droughts also sway sentiment. Real-time playoff results are the strongest drivers of price movement as the market approaches resolution.