TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event allows bettors to wager on individual team performance in the Yankees-Red Sox game, with separate markets for how many runs Boston and New York will each score. Bettors can predict whether each team will exceed various run thresholds from 1.5 to 7.5 runs.
Resolution is determined by each team's individual final run total in the complete game scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Boston's performance is evaluated against thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs, while New York's performance is evaluated against the same range. Each primary rule establishes a specific run threshold for the respective team; if that team's final run total exceeds the threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Resolution uses the official final score of the game.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if professional traders or informed bettors identify value that casual sportsbook players have overlooked. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most sharply.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcome ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance of supply and demand; as more traders buy shares predicting higher team totals, the price rises, and vice versa. This continuous pricing model allows you to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, with the market price updating in real time based on incoming orders and the latest information available to traders.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the New York Y versus Boston game concludes and the final combined team total is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the official final score. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust positions based on pre-game developments, injury reports, weather conditions, or any other factors that might influence the teams' scoring performance in the matchup.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jun 26, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected roster changes for either team would alter scoring expectations. Weather conditions on game day—wind, temperature, or precipitation—can affect offensive performance and total points. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often signal sharp money and can influence prediction market traders. Team momentum, recent offensive or defensive trends, and coaching adjustments also drive repricing. Breaking news about team health, lineup decisions, or external circumstances can trigger rapid market moves as traders update their probability estimates.