TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
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2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
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30,543
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 8:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between New York and Pittsburgh. It highlights the competitive nature of individual quarters within a larger game, where scoring efficiency can shift momentum and fan engagement.
The event determines the outcome of the second quarter in the New York vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game scheduled for August 21, 2026, with three possible resolutions: Pittsburgh winning the quarter, New York winning the quarter, or a tie. Each market resolution is based solely on the points scored by each team during the second quarter of play, with only those points counted toward the outcome. If both teams finish the quarter with equal scores, the Tie market resolves to Yes, and all team-specific markets resolve to No. The rules clarify that the contest is strictly about second-quarter performance, independent of the overall game result, and emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league or its trademarks.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and sharp analysis. While sportsbooks may lean on broader historical trends, this market can react quickly to practice reports, injury updates, and tactical shifts, potentially offering tighter or more divergent pricing.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the 2nd quarter winner market through continuous bidding and asking. The current implied probability reflects collective expectations about which team will score more points in that specific quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations can be influenced by injury reports, quarterback performance, and game momentum shifts as the season progresses.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by official game statistics showing which team scored the most points in the second quarter of play.
Key signals include starting lineup announcements, weather forecasts for the game day, and in-game performance metrics such as turnover ratios or defensive stops. Any major injury to a key offensive player or sudden coaching strategy changes could also shift trader sentiment and impact odds for this market as the game approaches.