TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between New Orleans and Dallas. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that could occur in that quarter, allowing participants to speculate on how dominant either team might be early in the game.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first quarter of the New Orleans vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning margin: Dallas must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points, or New Orleans must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points for the respective market to resolve to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the first quarter count, and no other quarters or overtime periods influence the outcome. The markets are independent, meaning each resolves based on its own threshold regardless of other market outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect sharper, faster-moving sentiment than traditional sportsbook lines, especially as game-specific news emerges. While sportsbooks set a baseline spread, Kalshi lets traders adjust positions quarter-by-quarter, sometimes creating gaps that bettors monitor for value. The two can diverge if injury updates or weather shifts appear before kickoff.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the opening quarter — compared against the posted spread — settles all positions, and results are typically final shortly after the quarter ends.
In the coming weeks, key signals like player injuries, weather forecasts, and strategic coaching decisions could shift this market. Performance trends in preseason games or practice reports may also influence odds. As Aug 29, 2026 approaches, any last-minute changes in team lineups or game-day conditions will be closely watched by traders, potentially moving the probability one way or the other based on how they affect Dallas’s ability to cover the first-quarter spread.