TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on how decisively either team performs exclusively in the final quarter of their August 27, 2026 matchup. Each market evaluates different point-spread thresholds to determine which team dominates the last quarter of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter of the New England vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for August 27, 2026, with overtime periods excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either Cleveland or New England for a 'Yes' resolution. Thresholds range from 2.5 to 10.5 points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in the final quarter. The outcome depends entirely on the margin of victory within this single quarter, without regard to the overall game result or any earlier quarters' scoring.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment and real-time betting activity rather than set by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may lean on historical data and analyst inputs, this market captures crowd-sourced expectations, which can create notable differences in implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual point differential in the fourth quarter of the game, and once official scores are published, the market will close and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the game, and strategic decisions by coaches can all shift expectations for the fourth quarter performance, moving this market. Additionally, early game momentum and quarter-by-quarter scoring trends may cause traders to adjust their bets, especially as the contest progresses and the final quarter approaches.