TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a football game between the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks. It specifically tracks performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends entirely on who dominates the scoring in that critical segment of the game.
If Seattle wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New England wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the fourth quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise in this market, potentially offering better value than available elsewhere. However, these differences aren’t always substantial.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – either the Patriots or the Seahawks winning the fourth quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The closer we get to the game, the more the price will likely move as new information becomes available and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading when the fourth quarter concludes in the NE Patriots vs SEA Seahawks game. The official game results, as reported by a major sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift perceptions. Finally, as the game approaches, any public statements from analysts or prominent sports figures could sway market sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market.