TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 9:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the NC Dinos and Samsung Lions. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity for evaluation.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the NC Dinos and Samsung Lions in their KBO game scheduled for September 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. If the actual total runs in the game surpass any of these thresholds, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how the collective wisdom of traders stacks up against traditional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different perspectives, reflecting a broader range of information and analysis than sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential weather impacts, or even subtle player news. It’s possible to find value by identifying situations where the prediction market odds diverge from sportsbook offerings, indicating a potential mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under 7.5. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the total runs will exceed 7.5, the price of the “over” contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the NC Dinos versus Samsung Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will be used to determine whether the total runs exceeded or fell short of 7.5. The resolution will reflect the official result as reported by the KBO league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding starting pitchers – such as injuries or late scratches – would likely have a substantial impact, as pitching performance heavily influences run scoring. Weather conditions at the game location are also critical; a windy day or potential rain could affect hitting and overall run totals. Finally, any late-breaking news about key hitters being added to or removed from the lineup could shift the probabilities and move the market.