TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of an artist's YouTube views over a specific week. It focuses on whether the artist achieves various thresholds of global daily views during that period, measured from a standardized location to ensure consistency.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether NBA YoungBoy attains specified thresholds of global daily YouTube views at any point between October 19, 2026, and October 25, 2026. Each threshold, ranging from above 5 million to above 12 million views, is assessed using data accessed via YouTube Charts with the location set to 'Global' and viewed from a New York IP address to standardize results. All markets share the same timeframe and methodology, with the outcome for each threshold determined by whether the specified view count is surpassed during the week. It is explicitly noted that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analysis, incorporating real-time information and diverse perspectives. While analysts might focus on past performance and announced releases, this market dynamically adjusts to news, social media trends, and unexpected events that could impact viewership. Discrepancies between the two can highlight overlooked factors or differing interpretations of available data, offering a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the highest daily view count for NBA YoungBoy. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly evolving based on new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the event.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest verified daily view count for NBA YoungBoy’s content across major platforms during the period of October 19, 2026, to October 25, 2026. The specific source used for verification will be determined by Kalshi and will be a widely recognized and trusted source for viewership data. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Unexpected announcements regarding new music releases, collaborations, or promotional activities by NBA YoungBoy would likely impact viewership expectations. Major social media trends, viral challenges, or controversies involving the artist could also drive substantial shifts in the market. Furthermore, changes in platform algorithms affecting content visibility or broader shifts in music consumption habits could influence predictions. Any news impacting NBA YoungBoy’s public image or fan engagement has the potential to alter the odds in this market.
