TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks whether NBA YoungBoy achieves over 5 million global daily views on YouTube within a specific week. Success is measured by a single day exceeding the threshold, with results based on data from a New York IP address.
Kalshi
Multiple thresholds (5M to 12M) are defined for NBA YoungBoy's global daily YouTube views from October 12 to October 18, 2026. Any day surpassing a threshold resolves the corresponding market as 'Yes'. View counts are sourced from YouTube Charts using a New York IP address, and neither YouTube nor Kalshi endorses these markets.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of factors than traditional analysis, incorporating real-time sentiment and diverse perspectives. While analysts might focus on past performance and promotional activities, the market aggregates predictions from many individuals, potentially identifying unforeseen influences on NBA YoungBoy’s viewership. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the “wisdom of the crowd” diverges from established expert views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular daily view count is likely, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by NBA YoungBoy across all major video platforms during the period of October 12, 2026, to October 18, 2026. Data will be sourced from publicly available analytics and reporting to determine the winning outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements regarding NBA YoungBoy’s new music releases, collaborations, or public appearances would likely impact viewership. Unexpected controversies or positive media coverage could also influence public interest. Additionally, shifts in social media trends or changes to video platform algorithms could affect how his content is distributed and consumed, thereby impacting the daily view counts and influencing trading activity in this market.
