TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens in the WTA US Open, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens in the WTA US Open, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of 3 or more sets being played in the Osaka vs Mertens match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of traders. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the probability of the event occurring. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, which drives price discovery and provides a dynamic assessment of the potential match length. The more traders believe 3 or more sets will be played, the higher the price will climb.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Naomi Osaka versus Elise Mertens match, specifically whether a total of 3 or more sets were played. The official match results, as reported by a recognized tennis authority, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the Osaka vs Mertens sets market before resolution. Any news regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Osaka or Mertens, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in playing surface conditions or weather forecasts could also impact expectations about match length. Furthermore, early performance in the tournament leading up to their match, or head-to-head records, might shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets involving similar players could also influence how traders assess the probability of a longer match, potentially altering the price of contracts on Limitless.