TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in China's League 1 between Nantong Zhiyun and Changchun Yatai. Bettors can speculate on whether Nantong Zhiyun, Changchun Yatai, or a tied result will occur after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time of the match. The resolution depends solely on the result of the scheduled game, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional China League 1 soccer match between Nantong Zhiyun and Changchun Yatai scheduled for September 26, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Nantong Zhiyun, a win for Changchun Yatai, or a tied result. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood, driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai match will be used to determine the winning contract. This includes official league results and any subsequent rulings that may affect the match outcome. The platform will verify the results against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions might also cause the odds to move. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact the volume and pricing within this market. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.