TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Slovenian Prva Liga. The contest involves two teams competing against each other, with three possible results determining the resolution. The rules ensure clarity on how each possible result affects the market outcome.
The event resolves based on the result of the Mura Murska Sobota vs Aluminij Kidricevo professional Slovenian Prva Liga soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Mura Murska Sobota wins, the 'Mura Murska Sobota' market resolves to Yes. If Aluminij Kidricevo wins, the 'Aluminij Kidricevo' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts in determining outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the crowd's assessment of an event's probability, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, while this market aims to represent true probabilities. Therefore, you may find that the implied probability from this market is more aligned with expert analysis or polls than those offered by sportsbooks. It’s important to note that discrepancies can arise due to differing information access and risk appetites between market participants and sportsbook operators.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Slovenian PrvaLiga match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Slovenian PrvaLiga match between Mura Murska Sobota and Aluminij Kidricevo, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the event's conclusion.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact perceptions of each team's chances of winning. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders, or even large volume spikes, can lead to price adjustments as others react to the new information or perceived sentiment within this market on Kalshi.