TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 6:45 AM EST
Kalshi
The opening map of this League of Legends match sets the stage for Movistar KOI Fénix and Los Heretics. Securing an early lead can provide a psychological advantage and strategic foothold for the rest of the series.
The market resolves to Yes if Movistar KOI Fénix wins map 1 of the LES 2026 match against Los Heretics scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT. If Los Heretics wins map 1 instead, their corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before or during play, the market resolves to the fair market price, with any in-progress forfeits resolved by the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the event's outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It's common to see prediction markets and sportsbooks converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning Map 1.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the Movistar KOI Fénix versus Los Heretics (OLD) League of Legends match. The winning team of Map 1 will determine the winning contract in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 6, 2026. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this event might also provide insights and impact the odds. Major upsets in similar League of Legends competitions could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Any significant information released about the teams or the match itself has the potential to move the market and alter the perceived likelihood of each outcome.