TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.5b
24H VOL:
$107,841,798
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,454,700,653
416,156
Markets across
31,459
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,649
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 8M
- Kalshi
Above 8M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 14, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks Morgan Wallen's YouTube view performance on a specific date, offering multiple thresholds for global daily views. Each threshold represents a different level of audience engagement, allowing participants to speculate on how widely his content will be consumed that day.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on Morgan Wallen's global daily YouTube view count on September 13, 2026, measured from a New York IP address. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the view count exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. View counts are obtained through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location. Neither these markets nor the associated products are endorsed by YouTube, and any references to YouTube charts are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. If analysts predict a certain range of views, this market will show whether traders agree, disagree, or assign different probabilities to various outcomes within that range. Discrepancies can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement, offering a more nuanced understanding of potential results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific outcome, and changes in price signal shifts in market sentiment regarding the number of views Morgan Wallen will receive.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of views for Morgan Wallen’s performance on September 13, 2026, will be sourced from publicly available data and used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on verifiable data rather than subjective interpretation. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it impacts their positions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding Morgan Wallen’s promotional activities, album sales, or media appearances could influence trader sentiment. Major announcements about the event itself, such as changes in venue or broadcast details, would also be impactful. Unexpected events affecting viewership trends generally, or even broader entertainment news, could also cause shifts in the price of contracts within this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential market movements.
