TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Molde FK and SK Brann, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Brann" if SK Brann are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Molde FK and SK Brann, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Brann" if SK Brann are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because participants have direct financial exposure. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or injury reports. Comparing both sources helps identify where the crowd consensus differs most from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the price of each share reflecting the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts continuously as new trades execute, meaning early movers and late traders can see different odds depending on order flow and liquidity depth. Shares are fractional, allowing precise position sizing. The spread between bid and ask prices widens or tightens based on trading volume and uncertainty, so checking the order book helps you understand execution costs before placing a trade.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during regular play, confirmed against credible public reporting of the final result. Once the event is complete and the result is clear from reliable sources, this market will settle to reflect the actual first scorer. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout automatically.
Several catalysts can shift odds significantly before the match kicks off. Injury announcements or lineup changes for either team will alter perceived scoring ability and defensive strength. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head records influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can cause rapid repricing. Media coverage of team morale, tactical changes, or referee assignments may also sway sentiment. As match day approaches, late-breaking team news or betting patterns often trigger the largest price swings, so monitoring news feeds and trading volume helps you stay ahead of moves.