TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 12:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Justin Smith and Mark Layton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 4 at 10:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Smith' if Justin Smith wins against Mark Layton. This market will resolve to 'Mark Layton' if Mark Layton wins against Justin Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Justin Smith and Mark Layton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 4 at 10:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Smith' if Justin Smith wins against Mark Layton. This market will resolve to 'Mark Layton' if Mark Layton wins against Justin Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds evolve continuously as traders buy and sell shares, expressing their beliefs about the likely winner of the MODUS Super Series match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and react to news faster than sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The trading activity and resulting price fluctuations provide a real-time assessment of the market’s expectations for the MODUS Super Series match between Justin Smith and Mark Layton.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Justin Smith and Mark Layton, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official announcements for the final result and resolution timing.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, public sentiment and expert analysis surrounding the matchup could sway traders’ opinions and drive price movements. Strong performance by either Justin Smith or Mark Layton in other recent matches would likely shift the probabilities reflected in this market.