TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Modena FC 2018 vs. Carrarese Calcio
kalshi
polymarket

Modena FC 2018 vs. Carrarese Calcio

Volume:
$68,468

Modena FC 2018

 - Polymarket

Modena FC 2018 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-02-14?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Modena FC 2018

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,432
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Modena

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$19,604
$8,478
0%
0%
$5,895
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Modena FC 2018 vs. Carrarese Calcio)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,349
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Carrarese Calcio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,262
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Carrarese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,307
$9,938
0%
0%
$7,213
N/A
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$6,821
$7,008
0%
0%
$5,205
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Modena FC 2018 and Carrarese Calcio scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win, loss, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes are specified to resolve to Yes. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure. Polymarket uses a standard three-binary-market approach with consistent, mutually exclusive logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as specified. The platform likely intends three separate binary markets (like Polymarket) but the source data shows all outcomes resolving to Yes. Contact Kalshi support to clarify before any settlement occurs. Trade only on Polymarket unless Kalshi corrects its specification.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Specifies three outcomes: 'If Carrarese wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Modena wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a tautology where every possible result triggers Yes, violating basic market logic. Key quote: all three conditions lead to identical Yes resolution.
  • Polymarket: Operates three separate binary markets: (1) Draw Yes/No, (2) Modena Win Yes/No, (3) Carrarese Win Yes/No. Each outcome is mutually exclusive and resolves to Yes or No based on the single specified condition. Includes consistent edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves per outcome (Yes for draw market, No for win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.