TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Modena FC 2018 vs. Carrarese Calcio
Volume:
$68,468
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Modena FC 2018 and Carrarese Calcio scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win, loss, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes are specified to resolve to Yes. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure. Polymarket uses a standard three-binary-market approach with consistent, mutually exclusive logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as specified. The platform likely intends three separate binary markets (like Polymarket) but the source data shows all outcomes resolving to Yes. Contact Kalshi support to clarify before any settlement occurs. Trade only on Polymarket unless Kalshi corrects its specification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Specifies three outcomes: 'If Carrarese wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Modena wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a tautology where every possible result triggers Yes, violating basic market logic. Key quote: all three conditions lead to identical Yes resolution.
- Polymarket: Operates three separate binary markets: (1) Draw Yes/No, (2) Modena Win Yes/No, (3) Carrarese Win Yes/No. Each outcome is mutually exclusive and resolves to Yes or No based on the single specified condition. Includes consistent edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves per outcome (Yes for draw market, No for win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.