TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC score more goals than Grêmio FBPA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA score more goals than Mirassol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC score more goals than Grêmio FBPA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Mirassol FC and Grêmio FBPA score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA score more goals than Mirassol FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets let traders freely price outcomes based on their beliefs. This market aggregates decentralized trader conviction rather than a bookmaker's risk management. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that traditional oddsmakers may have missed, though both incorporate injury reports, form, and head-to-head history differently.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of all active traders at any given moment. Higher prices indicate stronger belief in that result; lower prices suggest skepticism. Liquidity and order flow determine how quickly prices adjust to new information, so periods of high trading volume often precede significant probability shifts.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score or result recorded in the second half only, independent of the first-half scoreline. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official confirmation from the league or match authority.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—and early first-half momentum that shapes second-half tactical adjustments. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form streaks can also shift trader expectations. Live match events like red cards, momentum swings, or substitutions during the first half will likely trigger repricing as traders update their forecasts for the second-half outcome. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may amplify these moves.