TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Minnesota Twins and Pittsburgh Pirates will play beyond nine innings in their scheduled matchup on May 31, 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of extra innings occurring stands at 7.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official game result as recorded in the box score from the May 31, 2026 contest at 1:35 PM EDT. Watch for how both teams' bullpen depth and offensive production develop through regulation play, as close games in the late innings will be the primary driver of whether this matchup extends into extra innings.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of thousands of independent traders. For Minnesota vs Pittsburgh: Extra Innings, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook spreads and moneylines can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers. These gaps sometimes signal value, though both venues incorporate similar public information and expert analysis.
On Kalshi, Minnesota vs Pittsburgh: Extra Innings is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's estimated probability, ranging from $0 to $1, with the contract resolving to $1 if that outcome occurs and $0 otherwise. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting the final result. Kalshi's order book shows real-time bid-ask spreads, allowing you to enter at competitive prices or set limit orders to execute at your target probability levels.
The Minnesota vs Pittsburgh: Extra Innings market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final result of the game, including any extra innings played. The market will settle once the game concludes and the winning team is confirmed by the relevant sports authority. Traders should monitor official game updates and any schedule changes leading up to the end date to ensure they understand the exact timing and conditions for resolution.
Key catalysts for Minnesota vs Pittsburgh: Extra Innings include roster changes, injury announcements to star players, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions on game day, bullpen availability, and starting pitcher performance can significantly shift probabilities. Breaking news about player trades, suspensions, or lineup adjustments will likely trigger sharp price movements on Kalshi. Additionally, live game developments—early scoring, momentum shifts, and in-game injuries—will drive continuous repricing as traders update their expectations in real time.