TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Minnesota Vikings and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers specifically during the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered successful.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the third quarter of their game scheduled for September 27, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the third quarter, with no points from other quarters contributing to the outcome. Each threshold represents a distinct level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of offensive performance in that specific quarter. The resolution of each market depends solely on the actual point total accumulated by both teams during the third quarter, irrespective of the final game result or points scored in other quarters.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by participants directly forecasting the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not yet fully priced into the sportsbook odds. However, both represent probabilities of the same event occurring, and can be valuable tools for analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches, providing a real-time assessment of the potential 3rd quarter total.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter total points scored in the Vikings versus Buccaneers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will determine whether the total points scored in the 3rd quarter fall above or below the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. All contracts will be settled based on this verified result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to the Vikings or Buccaneers, particularly quarterbacks or key offensive players, would likely impact trading activity. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations about scoring. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters—such as a dominant offensive showing by one team—could lead traders to adjust their predictions for the 3rd quarter total, causing the price to shift accordingly. Game-day developments are the most likely catalysts.