Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official final result of the Millwall vs QPR match on April 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official EFL Championship statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Polymarket Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. If canceled with no makeup, resolves YES.
Polymarket QPR Win market resolves YES if QPR wins, NO otherwise. If canceled with no makeup, resolves NO.
Polymarket Millwall Win market resolves YES if Millwall wins, NO otherwise. If canceled with no makeup, resolves NO.
Kalshi markets resolve YES for whichever outcome occurs: Millwall win, QPR win, or Tie (draw).
Exactly one outcome will occur and exactly one market per platform will resolve YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and a final result is determined.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket Draw resolves YES while Polymarket Win markets resolve NO. Kalshi markets would not resolve under this scenario as the event would not occur.
Scope Limitation: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalties, resolving only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by the EFL or governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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