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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
Politics
polymarket

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Jan 4, 2026, 1:50 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,128,497
Volume 24h:
$811
11%
Liquidity:
$26,769
48%
Open interest:
$142,176N/A

December 31

 - Polymarket

December 31 - Polymarket

18%

+0%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 24

Aug 24

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$5.7k

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

17%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 18¢ buys you 556 shares | Odds: 17% Total Payout: $556 | Net Profit: $456 Multiplier: 5.56x | ROI: 456% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Miguel Díaz-Canel will cease to be President of Cuba by December 31, according to Polymarket rules. The current probability of Miguel Díaz-Canel being out as leader of Cuba by the specified date stands at 15.5%, with resolution based on official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba, or credible reporting consensus. Watch for any official announcements or credible reports of his removal before the market's resolution date of January 1, 2027.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.