TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$218,201,443

24H TRANSACTIONS:

527,797,601

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,191,873,651

500,842

Markets across

13,663

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,809

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Volume:
$1,122,152
Outcome
Chance %
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24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET at Louisiana Tech. Markets track the moneyline winner, multiple point spread variations, and total points scored across two prediction platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Middle Tennessee win or Louisiana Tech win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets use standard binary resolution logic.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market in its current form due to the logical impossibility. Trade only Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and over/under markets, which follow consistent and resolvable logic. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a documentation error or a platform-level issue.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market contains a critical logical error. Both outcomes (Middle Tennessee wins OR Louisiana Tech wins) are instructed to resolve to Yes. This creates an unresolvable state where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive game outcomes. Key Quote: 'If Middle Tennessee wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisiana Tech wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: All markets (moneyline, spreads, over/unders) use standard binary resolution logic. Moneyline resolves to team name of winner. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. Over/unders resolve based on combined points. All edge cases (postponement, cancellation) are clearly defined. Key Quote: 'If the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders win, the market will resolve to Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. If the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.