TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Miami vs New York M: Spread
kalshi

Miami vs New York M: Spread

Volume:
$760,660

Miami wins by over 3.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Miami wins by over 3.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 7:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami wins by over 3.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$204,808
N/A
N/A
$107,262
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami wins by over 1.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$195,410
N/A
N/A
$89,267
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$170,230
N/A
N/A
$71,412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York M wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97,909
N/A
N/A
$77,673
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 4.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,124
N/A
N/A
$30,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by over 5.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,768
N/A
N/A
$19,223
Settled
No
kalshi

New York M wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,890
N/A
N/A
$4,840
Settled
No
kalshi

New York M wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,520
N/A
N/A
$5,808
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing various thresholds for how decisive the win must be. The event reflects betting interest in the potential score differential rather than just which team wins.

Kalshi

The event consists of six separate markets, each defining a specific run differential threshold for either team to win by. Markets 1 through 3 address outcomes where New York M wins by more than 3.5, 2.5, or 1.5 runs, respectively. Markets 4 through 6 address outcomes where Miami wins by more than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs, respectively. All markets refer to the same professional baseball game scheduled for August 1, 2026, at 4:10 PM EDT. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact run differential stated in that market’s primary rule; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.