TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 2:57 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Nike Liga game between MFK Zemplín Michalovce and MŠK Žilina, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the MFK Zemplín Michalovce vs. MŠK Žilina match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Nike Liga game between MFK Zemplín Michalovce and MŠK Žilina, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the MFK Zemplín Michalovce vs. MŠK Žilina match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time. For exact-score markets, sportsbooks typically offer limited scoreline options with fixed margins, while this market allows traders to price every possible outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on the match outcome differs from professional oddsmakers, though both respond to team news, injuries, and betting patterns.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell shares in each exact-score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each scoreline functions as a separate contract, and the combined probability of all outcomes sums to 100 percent. Traders profit by correctly predicting the final score; prices move based on order flow, with larger trades creating more slippage. The system incentivizes accurate pricing because arbitrageurs exploit mispricings between outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at full time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts unless the competition format specifies otherwise. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, after official confirmation from the league or match authority. Traders should monitor the event schedule and any fixture changes that might affect the resolution date.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends for both sides. Betting patterns and sharp money flowing into specific scorelines can shift odds significantly. Weather conditions, venue factors, and head-to-head history may influence trader expectations. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments like last-minute roster changes or tactical adjustments often trigger repricing. Early goals or momentum swings during the match itself will cause rapid revaluation of remaining scoreline probabilities.