This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Melbourne Victory FC and Central Coast Mariners FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket settles on match outcome (win/draw/loss) based on official A-League statistics within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while Kalshi settles exclusively on total goals scored (over/under thresholds) in the same timeframe. The platforms measure fundamentally different settlement values: Polymarket resolves on result, Kalshi on goal aggregate.Hero tip: If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on who wins the match. If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting only on whether combined goals exceed specific thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5). A 1-0 Melbourne Victory win resolves YES on Polymarket (Melbourne) but may resolve differently on Kalshi depending on the total-goals threshold. Ensure your position matches your actual prediction: match outcome or goal volume.

Critical divergence points:

Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on three mutually exclusive match outcomes (Melbourne Victory win, draw, or Central Coast Mariners win) based on official A-League statistics or credible reporting consensus within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If Melbourne Victory FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Cancellation without makeup resolves NO for win markets and YES for draw market.
Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on total goals scored by both teams combined, with four separate markets testing thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if the combined goal count exceeds its threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If Central Coast and Melbourne Victory collectively score more than [X] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit cancellation clause provided.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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