TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Northwestern State Demons
Volume:
$501,462
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between McNeese State Cowboys and Northwestern State Demons scheduled for February 16, 2026. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Northwestern St. win and McNeese win) are programmed to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, game time discrepancy exists between platforms (6:30 PM vs 7:30 PM ET).Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline - it is unresolvable due to contradictory resolution logic. Use Polymarket's moneyline market as the authoritative source for determining the winner. Verify the actual scheduled game time with NCAA official sources before market close to ensure all derivative markets (spreads, totals) settle at the correct time.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market has both outcomes resolving to Yes. Quote: 'If Northwestern St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If McNeese wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible for a binary market and makes settlement unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (McNeese State Cowboys or Northwestern State Demons). Spreads at -13.5 and -14.5 require McNeese to win by 14+ or 15+ points respectively. Totals at 137.5 and 138.5 resolve Over/Under based on combined score. Game time listed as 6:30 PM ET for moneyline but 7:30 PM ET for spreads/totals.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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