TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 9:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oskari Paldanius and Ivan Marrero Curbelo in the Manacor, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Paldanius' if Oskari Paldanius advances against Ivan Marrero Curbelo. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero Curbelo' if Ivan Marrero Curbelo advances against Oskari Paldanius. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oskari Paldanius and Ivan Marrero Curbelo in the Manacor, Spain, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 6:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Paldanius' if Oskari Paldanius advances against Ivan Marrero Curbelo. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero Curbelo' if Ivan Marrero Curbelo advances against Oskari Paldanius. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they are set by traders who actively buy and sell contracts, incorporating a range of insights and speculation. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on a smaller set of factors and profit margins, this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants in real time, potentially offering sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent news and analytics.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is then automatically reflected in the market settlement. Traders should stay alert for any last-minute updates that could affect the final determination.
Key signals such as fighter injuries, training updates, or changes in betting momentum could shift this market before it settles. Media coverage, expert predictions, and betting volume spikes often serve as leading indicators of market movement. Traders watching Polymarket should stay informed about any news that might alter the perceived likelihood of each outcome.