TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 6:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Picard and Fares Zakaria in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Picard' if Mathys Picard advances against Fares Zakaria. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Mathys Picard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Picard and Fares Zakaria in the M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Picard' if Mathys Picard advances against Fares Zakaria. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Mathys Picard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome of the Picard vs Zakaria match. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective, though this market represents a unique forecast based on trader beliefs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence and more active trading in a particular outcome for the Picard vs Zakaria match. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mathys Picard vs Fares Zakaria match. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Picard vs Zakaria match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could all impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about either player’s form or strategy could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might influence traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.