TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Miller and Danila Folkheims in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Miller' if Gabriel Miller advances against Danila Folkheims. This market will resolve to 'Danila Folkheims' if Danila Folkheims advances against Gabriel Miller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Miller and Danila Folkheims in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Miller' if Gabriel Miller advances against Danila Folkheims. This market will resolve to 'Danila Folkheims' if Danila Folkheims advances against Gabriel Miller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as changes in venue or scheduling, could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations, and shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, may also contribute to changes in this market.