TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cleuson Tipewa and Artur Carvalho Rocha in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cleuson Tipewa' if Cleuson Tipewa advances against Artur Carvalho Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Artur Carvalho Rocha' if Artur Carvalho Rocha advances against Cleuson Tipewa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cleuson Tipewa and Artur Carvalho Rocha in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cleuson Tipewa' if Cleuson Tipewa advances against Artur Carvalho Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Artur Carvalho Rocha' if Artur Carvalho Rocha advances against Cleuson Tipewa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to 1; a share price of 0.60 indicates a 60% probability. The total volume traded in this market is $430.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra fight between Cleuson Tipewa and Artur Carvalho Rocha. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning fighter. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 13, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight's location or rules could also have an impact. Furthermore, any significant changes in public perception of either fighter's chances, based on analysis from sports commentators or betting experts, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.