TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Lanik and Henry De Keulenaer in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Lanik' if Tomas Lanik advances against Henry De Keulenaer. This market will resolve to 'Henry De Keulenaer' if Henry De Keulenaer advances against Tomas Lanik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Lanik and Henry De Keulenaer in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Lanik' if Tomas Lanik advances against Henry De Keulenaer. This market will resolve to 'Henry De Keulenaer' if Henry De Keulenaer advances against Tomas Lanik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe one player will win, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective than what's available at sportsbooks. It's a fascinating comparison to see where the discrepancies lie and understand why.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lanik vs De Keulenaer match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the ratio of shares traded for each player, offering a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sharm ElSheikh match between Tomas Lanik and Henry De Keulenaer. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available results and determine the payout for shares held in the winning outcome. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on objective, verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 28, 2026.