TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicola Senn and Bahgat Bahgat in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Senn' if Nicola Senn advances against Bahgat Bahgat. This market will resolve to 'Bahgat Bahgat' if Bahgat Bahgat advances against Nicola Senn. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicola Senn and Bahgat Bahgat in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Senn' if Nicola Senn advances against Bahgat Bahgat. This market will resolve to 'Bahgat Bahgat' if Bahgat Bahgat advances against Nicola Senn. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds evolve based on real-money wagers. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If significant differences emerge, arbitrage opportunities may present themselves for informed traders. It's crucial to compare odds from various sources to make well-informed decisions about the Sharm ElSheikh M25 match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh M25 match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh M25 match between Nicola Senn and Bahgat Bahgat. The platform will verify the match result against official tournament records and reporting to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for updates on the match’s progress.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament news, might also impact market sentiment. Real-time updates during the match itself, such as set scores or key breaks of serve, will likely cause rapid price movements. Increased media coverage or public attention could also drive trading volume and volatility in this market for the Sharm ElSheikh M25 match.