TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Jaramillo and Georgios Nouchakis in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Jaramillo' if Juan Pablo Jaramillo advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Juan Pablo Jaramillo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Jaramillo and Georgios Nouchakis in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Jaramillo' if Juan Pablo Jaramillo advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Juan Pablo Jaramillo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to trade on their predictions. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and can provide a useful benchmark for comparison, though discrepancies are common.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Juan Pablo Jaramillo and Georgios Nouchakis. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and publicly available data sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in perceived probabilities, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.