TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 1:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre Antoine Tailleu and Diogo Morais in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:07AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre Antoine Tailleu' if Pierre Antoine Tailleu advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Pierre Antoine Tailleu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pierre Antoine Tailleu and Diogo Morais in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:07AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre Antoine Tailleu' if Pierre Antoine Tailleu advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Pierre Antoine Tailleu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by trader opinions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on the collective wisdom of its participants, potentially revealing insights that differ from initial sportsbook assessments.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Pierre Antoine Tailleu and Diogo Morais, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The winning player, as officially recorded, will determine the outcome of this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could all contribute to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could also create noticeable shifts in the odds. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 28, 2026.