TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filipe Sustelo and Diogo Morais in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filipe Sustelo' if Filipe Sustelo advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Filipe Sustelo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filipe Sustelo and Diogo Morais in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filipe Sustelo' if Filipe Sustelo advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Filipe Sustelo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Setubal tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution over the possible results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Filipe Sustelo and Diogo Morais as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Setubal tennis match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or even shifts in public sentiment could all cause the odds to shift. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or any significant updates about their form or strategy, could also impact trading activity. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either player winning will likely be reflected in the market price, creating opportunities for informed traders.