TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Walid Ahouda and Iannis Miletich in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Walid Ahouda' if Walid Ahouda advances against Iannis Miletich. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Walid Ahouda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Walid Ahouda and Iannis Miletich in the M25 Rabat, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Walid Ahouda' if Walid Ahouda advances against Iannis Miletich. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Walid Ahouda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds represent the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market reflects what traders are willing to bet. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors, including public perception and breaking news.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M25 Rabat tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Rabat tennis match between Walid Ahouda and Iannis Miletich, as declared by the tournament organizers. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also trigger shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, potentially leading to price fluctuations in this market.