TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 2:11 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Ifi and Adrien Gobat in the M25 Plaisir + H, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Ifi' if Nicolas Ifi advances against Adrien Gobat. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Nicolas Ifi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Ifi and Adrien Gobat in the M25 Plaisir + H, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Ifi' if Nicolas Ifi advances against Adrien Gobat. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Nicolas Ifi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Nicolas Ifi vs Adrien Gobat match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Nicolas Ifi vs Adrien Gobat match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Polymarket, offering a real-time assessment of the probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nicolas Ifi vs Adrien Gobat match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the factors that will definitively determine the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Sep 16, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Nicolas Ifi or Adrien Gobat winning will likely be reflected in the price of shares on Polymarket.