TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 8:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arno Guillet and Pierre Ngijol Carre in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arno Guillet' if Arno Guillet advances against Pierre Ngijol Carre. This market will resolve to 'Pierre Ngijol Carre' if Pierre Ngijol Carre advances against Arno Guillet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arno Guillet and Pierre Ngijol Carre in the M25 Plaisir + H, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arno Guillet' if Arno Guillet advances against Pierre Ngijol Carre. This market will resolve to 'Pierre Ngijol Carre' if Pierre Ngijol Carre advances against Arno Guillet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the opinions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of each player winning the Plaisir + H tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Plaisir + H tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more responsive the price will be to new information and shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated reflection of expectations for Arno Guillet versus Pierre Ngijol Carre.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Plaisir + H tennis match between Arno Guillet and Pierre Ngijol Carre, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match, based on the official score and any applicable rules regarding match completion or disqualification. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, potentially triggering further movement in the market for the Plaisir + H tennis match.