TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 10:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Alopaeus and Erik Johansson in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Alopaeus' if Felix Alopaeus advances against Erik Johansson. This market will resolve to 'Erik Johansson' if Erik Johansson advances against Felix Alopaeus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Alopaeus and Erik Johansson in the M25 Falun, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Alopaeus' if Felix Alopaeus advances against Erik Johansson. This market will resolve to 'Erik Johansson' if Erik Johansson advances against Felix Alopaeus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in events where there’s significant uncertainty or subjective elements influencing the outcome. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Falun ski jumping competition between Felix Alopaeus and Erik Johansson. The winner, as determined by the official results, will be the outcome that settles this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the competition unfolds to understand how the event is progressing toward resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the athletes’ recent performance, training conditions, or potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Weather forecasts for Falun are also crucial, as wind and snow conditions can heavily impact ski jumping results. Unexpected announcements related to the competition schedule or format could also cause movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.