TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 12:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Tomida and Kristjan Tamm in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Yuta Tomida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Tomida and Kristjan Tamm in the M15 Wuning, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Tomida' if Yuta Tomida advances against Kristjan Tamm. This market will resolve to 'Kristjan Tamm' if Kristjan Tamm advances against Yuta Tomida. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic indicator of expectations for the Tomida vs Tamm match. The current volume traded is $309.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tomida vs Tamm match as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event's progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even shifts in betting trends at sportsbooks, could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the match approaches.