TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 8:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Vildeuil and Fedor Altukhov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Vildeuil' if Arthur Vildeuil advances against Fedor Altukhov. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Altukhov' if Fedor Altukhov advances against Arthur Vildeuil. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Vildeuil and Fedor Altukhov in the M15 Tsaghkadzor, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Vildeuil' if Arthur Vildeuil advances against Fedor Altukhov. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Altukhov' if Fedor Altukhov advances against Arthur Vildeuil. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to build in a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's a useful comparison for anyone looking to identify potential value.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Tsaghkadzor tennis match between Arthur Vildeuil and Fedor Altukhov, as determined by the tournament organizers. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the winner of the match. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, updates on head-to-head records or recent performance in similar tournaments might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Finally, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market participation.