TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kirill Mishkin and Vaal Urankar in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kirill Mishkin' if Kirill Mishkin advances against Vaal Urankar. This market will resolve to 'Vaal Urankar' if Vaal Urankar advances against Kirill Mishkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kirill Mishkin and Vaal Urankar in the M15 Telavi, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kirill Mishkin' if Kirill Mishkin advances against Vaal Urankar. This market will resolve to 'Vaal Urankar' if Vaal Urankar advances against Kirill Mishkin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different outcome, the price of shares in that outcome will increase, and the original outcome's shares will decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Telavi match between Kirill Mishkin and Vaal Urankar. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise details of the match result will be used to determine the final settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Kirill Mishkin or Vaal Urankar could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as changes in scheduling or venue, could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader betting trends could drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.