TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Reilly and Cadence Benchetrit in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Reilly' if Finn Reilly advances against Cadence Benchetrit. This market will resolve to 'Cadence Benchetrit' if Cadence Benchetrit advances against Finn Reilly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Reilly and Cadence Benchetrit in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Reilly' if Finn Reilly advances against Cadence Benchetrit. This market will resolve to 'Cadence Benchetrit' if Cadence Benchetrit advances against Finn Reilly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism. This creates a dynamic environment where the odds can shift rapidly based on new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Finn Reilly and Cadence Benchetrit. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Finn Reilly or Cadence Benchetrit, or changes in playing conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tournament might also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause significant price movements, especially if they signal a strong conviction in a particular outcome. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket can provide valuable insights into potential catalysts.