TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Crippa and Justas Trainauskas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Crippa' if Filippo Crippa advances against Justas Trainauskas. This market will resolve to 'Justas Trainauskas' if Justas Trainauskas advances against Filippo Crippa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Crippa and Justas Trainauskas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Crippa' if Filippo Crippa advances against Justas Trainauskas. This market will resolve to 'Justas Trainauskas' if Justas Trainauskas advances against Filippo Crippa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome in the Crippa vs Trainauskas match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Filippo Crippa and Justas Trainauskas. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The exact payout will depend on the volume traded and the final probabilities reflected on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions for either Filippo Crippa or Justas Trainauskas could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact trading. Furthermore, significant bets placed by influential traders on Polymarket could create momentum and move the market. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts, if widely disseminated, might also contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026.